From the moment that referee Howard Foster jumped in and prematurely ended the first fight, the rematch between George Groves and Carl Froch just HAD to happen. And after a bunch of verbal sparring and denials from Froch, the rematch was eventually signed and sealed, taking place on 31st May at what will look likely to be an 80,000 crowd at Wembley Stadium.
This fight is massive and needs little hyping compared to the first fight, the work is already done in that respect, with the dislike between the 2 fighters clear and the unsatisfactory ending of the first fight just adding to the intrigue.
We all saw what happened in the first fight, with Groves roaring out of the traps, clearly the faster man early on and caught Froch cold with a beauty of a right hand. For what it’s worth I had Froch coming back into the fight from round 7 onwards and do believe he was in the ascendancy but the stoppage was clearly premature and robbed people of a satisfactory outcome.
So what are the odds for Froch Groves II?
Carl Froch v George Groves II Outright Betting Odds
Carl Froch 4/6 (Betfred)
George Groves 13/8 (Coral)
Draw 28/1 (Various Bookies)
Looking at these odds you’d have to say they are quite long for George Groves, after all he was winning the previous fight at the time of the stoppage, he had put Froch down in Round 1 and he will now have a lot more of the crowd behind him. Froch isn’t getting any younger and the first fight probably took a lot out of the tank, so the odds could be quite generous here to Groves.
Carl Froch v George Groves II Method Of Victory Betting Odds
Carl Froch KO/TKO/Disq 6/4 (Betfred)
George Groves Dec/Tech Dec 7/2 (Coral)
Carl Froch Dec/Tech Dec 4/1 (Betfred)
George Groves KO/TKO/Disq 9/2 (Coral)
So the bookies have the favourite outcome as another Froch KO similar to the first fight. I do think there is very good value in Groves at 7/2 for the decision, he has proven in the past that he can get on his bike and win points decisions like he did against James DeGale and I have a feeling that he might get back to those tactics in this one.
He got caught big when he stood and traded with Froch in the first fight, but clearly he had a big speed and skill advantage so maybe it would make more sense for him to play it safe and try for a points victory this time around rather than going for the big KO and coming up short.
Groves also looks big at 9/2 for the KO considering he had Froch in a world of trouble last time, but you have to think that with Froch’s chin it is going to take a gargantuan effort to actually finish him and get him out of there – something which may be too dangerous for Groves to consider if he gets caught again.
Overall I would recommend probably taking a punt on Groves in this fight, it’s going to be very close but Groves is probably just about the VALUE bet – he proved he has the speed and skill edge in the first fight and so long as he boxes a more disciplined fight he could outpoint Froch here.
Don’t totally bet against Froch coming into it late again though and maybe getting a similar late KO, if you fancy that outcome you can get 11/2 with Ladbrokes on Carl Froch by KO/TKO in rounds 9-12.
George Groves Dec/Tech Dec @ 7/2 (Coral)
Carl Froch KO/TKO Rounds 9-12 @ 11/2 (Ladbrokes)
Resources to use:
Oddschecker.com for checking the latest odds
Bookiepromocode.com/codes/ladbrokes-promo-code/ to get the latest offer with Ladbrokes