Amir Khan has been announced to fight Luis Collazo on 3rd May 2014 on the undercard of Mayweather-Maidana. This comes after the falling through of a touted Khan-Mayweather bout in which Mayweather instead decided to face Maidana.
It would appear that Mayweather has again shown his careful matchmaking and probably sees Khan as a riskier bout due to Khan’s excellent handspeed which could cause the older man more problems than the simpler come-forward style of Maidana.
Khan himself will be very disappointed, a match against Mayweather stood to make him $5m – $10m, maybe more, whereas the Collazo fight will probably net him no more than $1m. Alongside this, the Collazo fight is an extremely risky proposition, this is not some nobody lined up as a keep-busy fight – Collazo KO’d Victor Ortiz in 2 rounds last time out and has been a seriously avoided man in the boxing world.
Collazo is definitely in the ‘who needs him’ club – he has talent, solid enough power but brings little fanbase and is not recognised by mainstream fans. therefore in the risk vs reward stakes he has often been overlooked for big fights. Not only this, he has arguably won some of the fights that appear as losses on his record being on the wrong end of some close decisions that have probably favoured the ‘house fighter’ – notably against Ricky Hatton and Andre berto with many people saying he could have won both those fights or at least got a draw.
So here he is, at age 32, possibly with his final shot at a really big breakthrough – if he beats Khan he could arguably be Mayweather’s next opponent or at least put himself in the frame for some other really big fights. This fight is REALLY dangerous for Khan, for whatever reason Khan has not looked great in the ring since beating Zab Judah 4 fights ago. Since then he has had 2 losses to Lamont Peterson (albeit controversial Khan did not fight well) and a crushing KO loss to Danny Garcia.
In his last 2 fights Khan has won against lesser named opponents and struggled hard to get those wins. In particular in his last fight against Julio Diaz, Khan was down in the 4th round and in a world of trouble several times in the fight, this against a man who had come up 2 weight classes in recent years. This performance does not bode well for a fight against Collazo, a true welterweight who has a dig on him and is big at the weight.
So let’s take a look at the current best odds for this fight:
Khan 2/7 (Bet365)
Collazo 7/2 (BetVictor)
Draw 28/1 (Stan James)
These odds are quite surprising, the bookies have gone for Khan as a huge betting favourite even though this would appear to be a pretty evenly matched bout. Khan has in his favour his immense speed of hand and foot, this will obviously give him an edge over Collazo who is not noted for his speed in particular though he was no slouch against Ortiz. However, Khan is as chinny as they come, against a big guy at welterweight who is proven on the world level I feel that anything could happen in this fight, so the odds as they stand are looking totally wrong.
I would definitely recommend having a bet on Luis Collazo at current odds of 7/2 to win the fight by any method, this gives you any eventuality such as points, KO, TKO etc etc. Whilst Khan should probably be a slight betting favourite, maybe a 4/6 shot, he certainly isn’t a certainty in this fight and may also be caught between styles with the recent change to trainer Virgil Hunter. It’s an easy thing for fighters to do when they have a rough patch, but Freddy Roach is one of the best in the game and it is yet to be proven that Khan can stay disciplined for a whole fight or fight effectively in a more defensive style.
The fight against Collazo will be intriguing and is definitely a crossroads make or break fight for both men. Whoever wins will definitely go onto bigger fights, in Khan’s case probably getting his fight against Mayweather, so there is a lot to gain and to lose for both fighters. We await it with anticipation.
Recommended Bet: Luis Collazo to win @ 7/2 (BetVictor)