George Groves returns to the ring for the first time since being concussively knocked out by Carl Froch in the biggest fight of recent years in front of a massive 80,000 Wembley crowd. He now faces little-known European champion Christopher Rebrasse as he looks to rebuild his career and get a few wins under his belt so he can rebuild back up to the very top level.
This is a nice comeback fight for Groves, it is not too easy which he could have been excused for doing, many fighters take a really easy fight after such a conclusive knockout, just so that they can rebuild some confidence and get the winning feeling back. This is not such an easy fight for Groves, it is at a decent level, Rebrasse is after all the champion of Europe and he should give Groves enough problems for this not to be an easy ‘walkover’ comeback fight. The fight is also an eliminator for the WBC title as if to underline the importance of this bout for Groves.
Groves vs Rebrasse Outright Betting Odds
George Groves 1/10 (Ladbrokes)
Christopher Rebrasse 17/2 (Paddy Power)
Draw 33/1 (Skybet)
Looking at the odds you can see that the bookies really don’t rate Rebrasse and think that George Groves is going to win comfortably. So what do we know about Rebrasse then?
Rebrasse has a 22-2 record with only 6 KOs, fighting mainly at French level before recently travelling to Italy for a few fights. He did well in his last fight, taking the vacant European title in Italian Mouhamed Ali Ndiaye’s back yard, winning by 4th round TKO.
George Groves is clearly a bit of a step up for Rebrasse on what he has faced previously and he will face a fired up Wembley Arena crowd as Groves has a good London fan base behind him and will probably get around 10,000 fans supporting him. Groves clearly carries a lot more power than rebrasse, any man who can put down Carl Froch clearly has a dig on him, so with Rebrasse’s lack of KO power it is quite probable that Groves is going to not fear letting his power shots go and try for a big KO on his comeback.
Groves vs Rebrasse Method Of Victory Odds
George Groves by KO/TKO/Disq 4/11 (Betfred, Bet365)
George Groves by Decision or Technical Decision 7/2 (Boylesports)
Christopher Rebrasse by Decision or Technical Decision 12/1 (Various Bookies)
Christopher Rebrasse by KO/TKO/Disq 18/1 (Skybet)
Again the bookies are taking no chances, they also have priced it up with Groves KO being the most likely outcome. I quite like the 7/2 at Boylesports for Groves on points, only because Rebrasse has never been stopped and Groves is coming back from a KO loss so might be a little more gun shy and trying to keep his defences tight. Therefore I’d recommend a small bet on Groves by points as 7/2 does seem decent enough value.
Whilst I haven’t seen enough of Rebrasse to know how good his chin actually is, he is the European champion with only 2 points losses on his record, so if Groves does get a KO it may come in the later rounds. therefore a look at the Rounded Group betting is also in order.
George Groves KO Rounded Group Betting
Groves by KO Rounds 1-3 5/1 (Bet365)
Groves by KO Rounds 4-6 7/2 (888Sport)
Groves by KO Rounds 7-9 7/2 (888Sport)
Groves by KO Rounds 10-12 11/2 (Bet365)
I quite like the odds for a mid-rounds KO, so I’d suggest a small stakes punt on Groves in Round 7-9 alongside the earlier Groves on points bet.
Groves vs Rebrasse Recommended Bets
Groves on Points @ 7/2 with Boylesports
Groves by KO ROunds 7-9 @ 7/2 with 888Sport