Kell Brook finally takes the step up to world title level on 16th August when he travels to California to face the IBF welterweight world champion Shawn Porter. This is a big step up for Kell Brook, who has seemingly been on the cusp of a world title fight for the last 3-4 years but whose career has stagnated somewhat through a variety of injuries, cancelled fights and a couple of poor performances.
An example of this was when Kell had to go through hell and high water to beat the rather limited Carson Jones over 12 rounds in July 2012. Kell has however managed to put together a run of four KOs with his most notable win being over Vyacheslav Senchenko who he knocked out in four rounds.
Shawn Porter is a fighter on the crest of a wave, brutally KO-ing the normally durable Paulie Malignaggi in 4 rounds in his last fight, as well as beating Devon Alexander comfortably in the fight before that. Porter is an aggressive, powerful fighter who previously had a few struggles but who has looked the business in those last two outings. The only real blip on his record is a split decision draw against Julio Diaz in December 2012, but things have taken a significant upturn since then.
So let’s take a look at the odds:
Kell Brook vs Shawn Porter Outright Odds
Shawn Porter 4/9 (Betfred, Paddy Power)
Kell Brook 2/1 (Bet365, Coral)
Draw 25/1 (Various Bookies)
The bookies make Shawn Porter a clear, strong favourite and you can’t really argue with that assessment. Whilst Brook is an unbeaten fighter with decent power and promise, he has yet to properly step up to world level and has looked limited at times in some of his wins.
Porter has occasionally looked limited, after all he is a fairly simple come forward, aggressive fighter who can be countered and arguably his last fight was against a non-puncher in Malignaggi, so he won’t be able to walk through Brook in the same manner. But Porter has home advantage and also already has the world title belt and has fought at a higher level for his last few fights than Brook.
So the odds seem quite fair, UK fans will clearly favour Brook, but he has a lot to do to go to America and take the belt from a solid champion like Porter.
Kell Brook vs Shawn Porter Method Of Victory Odds
Shawn Porter by KO/TKO/Disq 4/9 (Betfair)
Shawn Porter by Decision or Technical Decision Evs (Betfair)
Kell Brook by Decision or Technical Decision 19/10 (Betfair)
Kell Brook by KO/TKO/Disq 19/10 (Betfair)
A lot of bookies haven’t issued odds yet for the other markets on this fight even though it is only 11 days away, however there are some odds available on Betfair as shown above. At this moment there are no real standout bets, nothing that really shouts ‘value’. 4/9 for the Porter KO is a poor price against an unbeaten fighter like Brook, so this fight might go more like the Devon Alexander fight in terms of going to points. My recommendation would be to wait nearer the fight and see what the bookies do on this market.
Porter has been written off by some UK writers as predictable and one-dimensional, but I don’t see much difference with Brook in that respect so this one could be pretty close.
Resources to use:
Oddschecker.com – to get the latest odds
http://www.thefreebetguide.com/promo-codes/bet365-bonus-code/ – to get a £200 Free bet at Bet365 on this fight