Carl Frampton vs Scott Quigg Betting Tips & Fight Preview

Carl Frampton takes on Scott Quigg on Saturday 27th February at the MEN Arena in Manchester.  This is a unification fight for the World Super-bantamweight titles, with Quigg the current WBA champion and Frampton the current IBF champion.  Viewers in the UK will be able to see the fight live on Sky Box Office PPV.

Carl Frampton vs Scott Quigg Fight Poster

The current outright odds for the fight are as follows:

Carl Frampton 8/13 (Betfred)

Scott Quigg 6/4 (Coral/Ladbrokes)

Draw 25/1 (Stan James)

Both fighters are unbeaten with Frampton 21-0 (14 KOs) coming into the fight and Quigg 31-0-2 (23 KOs).

Quigg’s Draws

Quigg’s two draws are a technical draw against Rendall Munroe who suffered a cut early in the fight, Quigg then crushed Rendall in his next fight.

The other draw was a majority draw against Yoandris Salinas in probably the closest fight of his career.  Salinas was a slick and crafty fighter, but most had Quigg edging the fight, however there was never a rematch as Quigg seemed to struggle against Salinas who was a notable amateur with 300 amateur fights, whereas Quigg had a limited amateur career of only 12 fights, something which could go against him in the clash against Frampton.

Frampton – Questions over last fight

Frampton had a spotless pro career up until his last fight, with win after impressive win coming against decent opposition – Frampton appeared to combine world level power with excellent technical skills and a good chin.  People had Frampton as a clear favourite for any clash with Quigg, but things changed in Frampton’s last fight when he travelled to the US to make his debut over there against a tough Mexican Alejandro Gonzalez Jnr.

Frampton was expected to look good on his US debut, but from the off looked sluggish and got dropped twice in the 1st round to the shock of everyone watching.  Frampton regrouped and took the fight on a clear points decision, but the shine had really been taken off him and question marks now hang over how he might react to Quigg’s power.

Quigg and Frampton both have power

Since that draw against Salinas, Quigg has put together a run of 5 wins on the bounce, with 4 coming by KO.  In his last fight he smashed the tough and seasoned former world champion Kiko Martinez in 2 rounds.  This was Quigg’s standout performance to date and has raised his stock coming into this big fight against Frampton.

Frampton also has impressive power, though probably a little bit more ‘wearing down’ type of power than Quigg’s explosive power.  Frampton has previously KO’d Kiko Martinez in 9 rounds before being taken 12 rounds by the Spaniard in a rematch.  Frampton has also blown away American Chris Avalos in five brutal rounds, so both fighters can claim to have the power to knock the other guy out.

Carl Frampton vs Scott Quigg Manchester Press Conference Video

Surprising Odds?

The bookies have made Frampton the odds-on 8/13 favourite for the fight, with Quigg available at a rather juicy looking 6/4 with Coral and Ladbrokes.  Up until the last fights of both men I could understand those odds, but now I see this very much as a 50/50 fight.  Frampton has the more impressive amateur record of 114-11, winning various titles and it is that background which still probably does give him the edge in this fight.

Quigg had only 12 amateur fights, so has ‘learnt on the job’ in his pro career, but does have more pro fights than Frampton, albeit initially at a lower level in his early days.

Let’s take a look at the ‘method of victory’ odds which sometimes provide more interesting betting opportunities.

Carl Frampton v Scott Quigg – Method Of Victory Odds

Frampton by Decision/TD 15/8 (Stan James)

Frampton by KO/TKO 11/4 (Bet365)

Quigg by KO/TKO 11/4 (Betfred)

Quigg by Decision/TD 11/2 (Bet365)

Frampton is the favourite to win on points, which is probably fair due to his more impressive amateur background.  Also, even though he was knocked down in his last fight, he did show a certain amount of chin to still carry on and win the fight.

It’s a tough one to choose, I’ve been impressed with both and it’s a real pick ‘em fight.  Both fighters come into this with vulnerabilities, Quigg having also been put down in some early career fights, he was a little raw back then, but still it proves he also can be hurt.

My overall gut feeling is that Frampton, with his better amateur background is probably just going to edge a very close contest.  I think both will be very wary of the others power and in that sort of fight then the better boxer should win.  Excuses can be made for Frampton’s last fight, such as maybe he was underestimating his opponent and it was his first show in America, so overlooking that performance you still have to feel that Frampton is probably the more rounded all-round fighter who can box AND bang.

If there is going to be a knockout then I do feel it will come from Quigg, who is such an explosive fighter, especially in the first 6 rounds, I think 11/4 offers sufficent value for bettors to maybe have some small stakes on this.  I would also recommend taking a look at the odds in play and try to react to any changes in the fight as this one is going to be explosive and unpredictable.  Good luck with your bets!

Recommended Bets

5 pts on Carl Frampton to win by Decision/TD @ 15/8 (Stan James)

1 pt on Scott Quigg to win by KO/TKO @ 11/4 (Betfred)

Resources to use

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/carl-frampton-v-scott-quigg/winner – To get the latest odds and betting markets for the Frampton v Quigg Fight

Wladimir Klitschko vs Tyson Fury Betting Tips and Fight Preview

So finally Wladimir Klitschko has got round to fighting Tyson Fury after a couple of years in which Fury has been waiting for a really big defining fight in his career.  Klitschko has been fighting his usual round of smaller, hand-picked American and European opponents who pose him little danger and which has made the heavyweight division a bore-fest for the last few years.

Klitschko vs Fury Fight Poster

At least Fury brings his huge height and physical stature to the table, something which Klitschko has not had to deal with for quite a few years as he has generally been taller and outweughed his opponents in recent years, including the fairly routine win over Britain’s David Haye back in  2011.

This fight has some similarities to the Haye fight, Fury has been trash talking about Wlad for the last few years, calling him out, calling him boring and Fury did not disappoint one bit in the recent press conference to promote the fight, with a verbal attack on Klitschko calling him boring and stating he had ‘less personality than my underpants’.  See the video below for the conference video which is quite an amusing watch.

Wladimir Klitschko vs Tyson Fury Press Conference Highlights Video

 

Wladimir Klitschko vs Tyson Fury Outright Odds

Wladimir Klitschko 1/4 (Coral)

Tyson Fury 7/2 (Skybet)

Draw 28/1 (Betfred)

The bookies make Wladimir Klitschko a huge favourite in the outright market, this is totally understandable really.  Much as Fury is probably Wlad’s best opponent for a while and he has a huge frame to cause Wlad some different problems, Fury’s record is mostly at a lower level than Klitschko has been fighting.

Fury has done well against some decent British and Euro level fighters, but this is a jump in levels for him, he hasn’t fought anyone like Stiverne or some of the other Americans who might have porovided a better stepping stone to test himself more for this fight.  That being said, Fury is probably only just reaching his best, he is only 26 years old and that youthfulness plus his size are definitely going to give the now 39 year old Klitschko some problems.

I cannot recommend Wlad at 1/4, those odds are just too small and the 7/2 for Fury actually looks like decent value in many ways – he’s unbeaten and carries enough power to test the chin of Klitschko which hasn’t been tested for years.  Most importantly, at 6 foot 9, Fury will have the height and reach to actually potentially get in range which so many of Klitschko’s other opponents haven’t been able to do.  Will he be able to get past that stiff ramrod jab of Klitschko’s?  Possibly not, but he does have a better chance than any of Klitschko’s recent foes.

 

Wladimir Klitschko vs Tyson Fury Method of Victory Market

Klitschko by KO/TKO 5/4 (Boylesports)

Klitschko by Decision/TD 13/8 (Paddy Power)

Fury by KO/TKO 7/1 (Paddy Power)

Fury by Decision/TD 9/1 (Betway)

The actual method of victory is really tricky for this fight.  You could argue for a Klitschko KO based on his career record of 53 KOs in his 64 victories, combine this with the fact that Fury has been put down by a few of his opponents at a much lower level than this, then you can see why this is the favourite at 5/4.

But Fury is a tough character, whenever he has been knocked down, he’s got back up again and won the fights.  Combine this with Klitschko getting old and how he struggled last time out to make a dent on Bryant Jennings, then the points win starts to look more possible at 13/8.

I can’t see Fury winning this on points, not in Germany against Wlad, so his main chance will be to test the chin of Klitschko, who suffered a few really bad KO defeats earlier in his career.  His career has been carefully managed since then, but there is always the sneaking suspicion that someone could put his lights out again one day, though he is much more of a dominant, physical specimen these days, the saying goes ‘you can’t put muscles on chins’.  I recommend Klitschko on points as the main bet with a fun bet of small stakes on Fury by knockout.

Recommended Bets

5 pts on Wladimir Klitschko Points win @ 13/8 (Paddy Power)

1 pt on Fury by KO/TKO @ 7/1 (Paddy Power)

Resources to use

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/wladimir-klitschko-v-tyson-fury/winner – to check the latest odds and markets for the Fury vs Klitschko fight

http://www.thefreebetguide.com/promo-codes/betfred-promo-code/ – to get a Bet £10 Get £30 offer for the fight

Floyd Mayweather vs Manny Pacquiao Betting Tips and Fight Preview

Mayweather vs Pacquiao is finally happening on Saturday 2nd May 2015 (early hours of Sunday 3rd May in the UK).  This fight needs no introduction really, it has been awaited by boxing fans for 5-6 years now and is arguably coming too late in both men’s careers, but we’d rather see the fight happen at all than not!

Mayweather vs Pacman in las Vegas on 2nd May 2015

In the UK the fight has just been snapped up by Sky Sports, so will be available to buy on Pay per view on Sky Box Office on the night of the fight, for around £19.95.  This isn’t bad really and I’m sure there will be many late night house gatherings that night.  So before we go to the fight odds, let’s take a look at the last few outings for both men.

Manny Pacquiao – Recent fights

The Pacman is now 36 years old and went a bit off the boil a couple of years ago.  His peak was arguably around 2008-2011, in which time he beat Oscar De la Hoya, sparked out Ricky Hatton, KO-d Miguel Cotto and beat Shane Mosley comfortably on points.  At this point Mayweather wouldn’t go near him with a bargepole and would have been facing a prime Pacman.

Since that peak, Pacman got KO-d in 2012 by 38 year old Juan Manuel Marquez in an astonishing fight.  Marquez was the clear underdog going into the fight, but managed to connect with a gung-ho Pacman on too many occasions and found he had the power to stop Pacquiao in his tracks.  This seemed to signal the end of Pacman at his peak and the feeling of vulnerability remains now, even after 3 points wins on the bounce.  The old marauding style has had to give way to a more considered style which may well play into Mayweather’s hands.

Back in 2008-2011 when Pacman was walking through fighters, you could see him potentially negating Mayweather’s skills by just blasting him out of there, but now it seems he will have to engage in a boxing match and there’s only really one winner if that happens.  Pacman did though beat very decent opposition in Timothy Bradley, so has still been operating at the highest level and beating people.

Floyd Mayweather – Recent Fights

Mayweather has fought Maidana twice on the bounce in recent fights, with Maidana giving him absolute hell in the first fight.  the second fight was more comfortable and Mayweather did what Mayweather does, controlling the range and beating his opponent comfortably enough without over-committing himself.

Mayweather is now 38 years old and this fight is going to be about who has aged the least, who has maintained their speed and also ability to take a punch.  Mayweather comfortably beat young pretender Saul Alvarez, but he had a lot in his favour such as making Alvarez come down a lot in weight to make the fight happen.  This has been a feature of Floyd’s career and he won’t have such advantages in this fight, giving Pacman a chance at least.

Mayweather vs Pacquiao Outright Odds

Mayweather 1/2 (Coral, Ladbrokes)

Pacquiao 2/1 (Sky Bet, Stan James)

Draw 22/1 (Various Bookies)

The bookies make Mayweather the odds on favourite and that seems fair enough, although Mayweather has slowed down a bit, he’s had much less damage in his career, taking far fewer punches than Pacman and never really looking too ragged or gone in any of his fights.

Pacman has had a tough career and has fought in many wars to get to the top, so at 36 may be he will be the one who shows the signs of wear and tear the most.  It’s a cracking matchup, but I do agree with the bookmakers here in terms of the odds.

Mayweather vs Pacquiao Method Of Victory Odds

Mayweather by Decision/TD 8/11 (Ladbrokes)

Pacquiao by KO/TKO 11/2 (Coral)

Pacquiao by Decision/TD 11/2 (Betfair)

Mayweather by KO/TKO 7/1 (Bet365, Coral)

The obvious choice is Mayweather on points and the bookies think the same and I am no different I’m afraid.  Much as I want to see a different outcome and would love to see Pacman topple Mayweather after being avoided for so many years, I feel that Mayweather has timed the fight to perfection and will be able to control Manny at range.

The age of both fighters mean that ring savvy and skills will probably play more of a part than out and out raw power as Pacman has blown off a lot of the steam from earlier in his career and is no longer such an explosive fighter as he was during his peak.

The best price of 8/11 for Mayweather on points is not particularly tempting when compared to the outright victory odds of 1/2.  I’d rather take Mayweather outright by any method at 1/2, which also would include any potential stoppage win – this is fairly unlikely but you never know and the small odds difference makes it more worthwhile to take the 1/2.

Recommended Bet

Floyd Mayweather to win Outright @ 1/2 with Coral/Ladbrokes

 

Bermane Stiverne v Deontay Wilder Betting Tips

Bermane Stiverne takes on Deontay Wilder on Saturday 17th January 2015 in the MGM Grand in Las Vegas.  This is the first major fight of the year for boxing fans and is for the WBC World Heavyweight title.  In the UK it will be shown live on Boxnation in the earlier hours of Sunday morning.

This is an intriguing matchup, Wilder has all the hype behind him and is an absolute knockout machine with a perfect record of 32 fights, 32 wins and 32 knockouts.  Stiverne has not had such hype behind him but still has a decent record of 26 fights, 24 wins and 21 KOs, with a draw and a close loss also on his slate.

Bermane Stiverne vs Deontay Wilder title fight

It cannot be argued that Wilder doesn’t have the power to KO Stiverne, but what can be argued is that he has not really fought anyone of Stiverne’s level before and he has not had his own chin tested properly.  Stiverne is a decent heavyweight, he has some technique to go with his power and could outbox the raw Wilder.  Wilder can look upright and has shown some technique deficiencies in his earlier fights, however if he gets to Stiverne and connects with a big shot, it will all be over very quickly.

Stiverne vs Wilder Outright Odds

Deontay Wilder 4/6 (Bet365)

Bermane Stiverne 8/5 (William Hill)

Draw 35/1 (Betfred)

The bookies have it quite close, they also must realise that this is Wilder’s first major test and that the hype train could well come off the rails right here.  However, I like 4/6 for Wilder, I think the bookies have been fair here and I still think that Wilder will have too much power for Stiverne to cope with.

I was expecting the bookies to get carried away and maybe go 2/5 or something like for Wilder, but at 4/6 at Bet365 I think there is enough in those odds to warrant a bet on Wilder.  I do feel at some point he will come off the rails and get totally outboxed by someone, but I’m sot sure Stiverne is the man to do it.

Stiverne v Wilder Method Of Victory Odds

Deontay Wilder by KO/TKO 8/15 (Betfair)

Stiverne by KO/TKO 23/20 (Betfair)

Wilder by Decision/TD 5/2 (Betfair)

Stiverne by Decision/TD 13/5 (Betfair)

Again I think the bookies have been fair here, the chances are Wilder is going to hit and hurt Stiverne, but if he himself is going to lose then you would expect it to be by KO as he might crumble when he finally gets hit by a fringe world level contender.  Wilder has ran out of ideas before in fights, but I totally don’t expect this fight to go the distance and would recommend simply taking the outright price of 4/6 for Wilder at the moment.

The bookies have been slow to price up the Method of victory or round betting markets just yet, so keep an eye out for those markets closer to fight night.  For now the prices shown are what is currently available on Betfair, but you should get much better prices on the night when a few bookies should have woken up to the fact that there is a big fight happening.

 

George Groves v Christopher Rebrasse Betting Tips and Preview

George Groves returns to the ring for the first time since being concussively knocked out by Carl Froch in the biggest fight of recent years in front of a massive 80,000 Wembley crowd.  He now faces little-known European champion Christopher Rebrasse as he looks to rebuild his career and get a few wins under his belt so he can rebuild back up to the very top level.

George Groves vs Christopher Rebrasse

This is a nice comeback fight for Groves, it is not too easy which he could have been excused for doing, many fighters take a really easy fight after such a conclusive knockout, just so that they can rebuild some confidence and get the winning feeling back.  This is not such an easy fight for Groves, it is at a decent level, Rebrasse is after all the champion of Europe and he should give Groves enough problems for this not to be an easy ‘walkover’ comeback fight.  The fight is also an eliminator for the WBC title as if to underline the importance of this bout for Groves.

Groves vs Rebrasse Outright Betting Odds

George Groves 1/10 (Ladbrokes)

Christopher Rebrasse 17/2 (Paddy Power)

Draw 33/1 (Skybet)

Looking at the odds you can see that the bookies really don’t rate Rebrasse and think that George Groves is going to win comfortably.  So what do we know about Rebrasse then?

Rebrasse has a 22-2 record with only 6 KOs, fighting mainly at French level before recently travelling to Italy for a few fights.  He did well in his last fight, taking the vacant European title in Italian Mouhamed Ali Ndiaye’s back yard, winning by 4th round TKO.

George Groves is clearly a bit of a step up for Rebrasse on what he has faced previously and he will face a fired up Wembley Arena crowd as Groves has a good London fan base behind him and will probably get around 10,000 fans supporting him.  Groves clearly carries a lot more power than rebrasse, any man who can put down Carl Froch clearly has a dig on him, so with Rebrasse’s lack of KO power it is quite probable that Groves is going to not fear letting his power shots go and try for a big KO on his comeback.

Groves vs Rebrasse Method Of Victory Odds

George Groves by KO/TKO/Disq 4/11 (Betfred, Bet365)

George Groves by Decision or Technical Decision 7/2 (Boylesports)

Christopher Rebrasse by Decision or Technical Decision 12/1 (Various Bookies)

Christopher Rebrasse by KO/TKO/Disq 18/1 (Skybet)

Again the bookies are taking no chances, they also have priced it up with Groves KO being the most likely outcome.  I quite like the 7/2 at Boylesports for Groves on points, only because Rebrasse has never been stopped and Groves is coming back from a KO loss so might be a little more gun shy and trying to keep his defences tight.  Therefore I’d recommend a small bet on Groves by points as 7/2 does seem decent enough value.

Whilst I haven’t seen enough of Rebrasse to know how good his chin actually is, he is the European champion with only 2 points losses on his record, so if Groves does get a KO it may come in the later rounds.  therefore a look at the Rounded Group betting is also in order.

George Groves KO Rounded Group Betting

Groves by KO Rounds 1-3  5/1 (Bet365)

Groves by KO Rounds 4-6  7/2 (888Sport)

Groves by KO Rounds 7-9  7/2 (888Sport)

Groves by KO Rounds 10-12 11/2 (Bet365)

I quite like the odds for a mid-rounds KO, so I’d suggest a small stakes punt on Groves in Round 7-9 alongside the earlier Groves on points bet.

 

Groves vs Rebrasse Recommended Bets

Groves on Points @ 7/2 with Boylesports

Groves by KO ROunds 7-9 @ 7/2 with 888Sport

 

Kell Brook vs Shawn Porter Betting Tips and Preview

Kell Brook finally takes the step up to world title level on 16th August when he travels to California to face the IBF welterweight world champion Shawn Porter.  This is a big step up for Kell Brook, who has seemingly been on the cusp of a world title fight for the last 3-4 years but whose career has stagnated somewhat through a variety of injuries, cancelled fights and a couple of poor performances.

Kell Brook vs Shawn porter Boxing Betting Tips and Preview

An example of this was when Kell had to go through hell and high water to beat the rather limited Carson Jones over 12 rounds in July 2012.  Kell has however managed to put together a run of four KOs with his most notable win being over Vyacheslav Senchenko who he knocked out in four rounds.

Shawn Porter is a fighter on the crest of a wave, brutally KO-ing the normally durable Paulie Malignaggi in 4 rounds in his last fight, as well as beating Devon Alexander comfortably in the fight before that.  Porter is an aggressive, powerful fighter who previously had a few struggles but who has looked the business in those last two outings.  The only real blip on his record is a split decision draw against Julio Diaz in December 2012, but things have taken a significant upturn since then.

So let’s take a look at the odds:

Kell Brook vs Shawn Porter Outright Odds

Shawn Porter 4/9 (Betfred, Paddy Power)

Kell Brook 2/1 (Bet365, Coral)

Draw 25/1 (Various Bookies)

The bookies make Shawn Porter a clear, strong favourite and you can’t really argue with that assessment.  Whilst Brook is an unbeaten fighter with decent power and promise, he has yet to properly step up to world level and has looked limited at times in some of his wins.

Porter has occasionally looked limited, after all he is a fairly simple come forward, aggressive fighter who can be countered and arguably his last fight was against a non-puncher in Malignaggi, so he won’t be able to walk through Brook in the same manner.  But Porter has home advantage and also already has the world title belt and has fought at a higher level for his last few fights than Brook.

Shawn porter KO malignaggi

So the odds seem quite fair, UK fans will clearly favour Brook, but he has a lot to do to go to America and take the belt from a solid champion like Porter.

 

Kell Brook vs Shawn Porter Method Of Victory Odds

Shawn Porter by KO/TKO/Disq 4/9 (Betfair)

Shawn Porter by Decision or Technical Decision Evs (Betfair)

Kell Brook by Decision or Technical Decision 19/10 (Betfair)

Kell Brook by KO/TKO/Disq 19/10 (Betfair)

A lot of bookies haven’t issued odds yet for the other markets on this fight even though it is only 11 days away, however there are some odds available on Betfair as shown above.  At this moment there are no real standout bets, nothing that really shouts ‘value’.  4/9 for the Porter KO is a poor price against an unbeaten fighter like Brook, so this fight might go more like the Devon Alexander fight in terms of going to points.  My recommendation would be to wait nearer the fight and see what the bookies do on this market.

Porter has been written off by some UK writers as predictable and one-dimensional, but I don’t see much difference with Brook in that respect so this one could be pretty close.

Resources to use:

Oddschecker.com – to get the latest odds

http://www.thefreebetguide.com/promo-codes/bet365-bonus-code/ – to get a £200 Free bet at Bet365 on this fight

 

Tyson Fury v Dereck Chisora Betting Preview

Tyson Fury and Dereck Chisora clash on Saturday 26th July at the Manchester Arena in a rematch of their fight in 2011.  That time, Chisora came in overweight and out of shape and clearly had not prepared correctly, with Fury taking a comfortable points decision and looking the better man on the night.  This time Chisora looks to be taking this deadly serious with the winner looking likely to go on and fight for a world title either versus one of the Klitschkos or for a vacant belt.

Tyson Fury vs Dereck Chisora Betting Preview

Dereck Chisora has had to rebuild after a tough period where he lost 4 out of 5 fights including the Fury loss, David Haye by knockout, an unlucky decision loss to Robert Helenius in Finland and a plucky points defeat to Vitali Klitschko in Germany.  Chisora’s defeats have clearly come at a high level and he can still say he belongs here after a good run of 5 decent wins has rebuilt his stock at world level.

Tyson Fury comes into this still an undefeated man and will clearly be confident of repeating his 2011 success over Chisora.  Fury has endured a frustrating time, with a mooted fight against David Haye falling through after Haye pulled out twice with injury.  That was a fight that could have made Fury a very wealthy man, with a reported £5m expected purse, he now has had to come back to reality and will probably be on around £300k for this fight as he still looks for the big fight to cash in on his notoriety.

Let’s take a look then at the odds for the fight:

Tyson Fury 1/2 (Bet365 and various others)

Dereck Chisora 13/8 (Bet365)

Draw 25/1 (Skybet)

The bookies have played it safe in the outright market and I have to agree with them,  Fury is the unbeaten man and with his huge frame he will have all the advantages over Chisora, who has struggled previously when facing bigger men.  Chisora is a rather smaller heavyweight compared to the giant Fury and will probably have problems getting close enough to do much effective work.

Tyson Fury v Dereck Chisora Method Of Victory Odds

Tyson Fury by KO, TKO or Disq 7/4 (Paddy Power)

Tyson Fury by Decision or Technical Dec 9/4 (Skybet)

Dereck Chisora by KO, TKO or Disq 4/1 (Paddy Power)

Dereck Chisora by Decision or Technical Dec 5/1 (Paddy Power)

 

Looking at the method of victory market, it seems likely to me that this fight could go a similar way to the first fight.  Yes, Chisora will be in better shape, but in that time Fury has also improved and looks a stronger, more mature boxer who is rounded and ready to go up to world level.  Whilst Chisora has done well to rack up 5 wins on a row, these have been against lesser fighters who Fury would also expect to beat comfortably.

Chisora does have a very good chin however and has only been KO’d once in his career by David Haye who is a noted puncher at world level.  Fury has a good punch on him and seems to have developed his power a bit over the years, but I think we could see another points victory for Fury, so I would put no-one off the 9/4 available with Skybet for Fury to win on points.

If you fancy Chisora, I would probably expect his main chance is to try and knock out Fury.  Fury has been put down in a few fights as he does sometimes get lazy and drop his defences, he has always got back up again and come back to win but definitely this is a weakness that Chisora will be looking to expose.  So therefore, 4/1 for Chisora KO is probably the best bet if you do fancy Chisora to upset the odds.  However I am going to stick with my tip of Fury to take this one on points in a tough 12 round battle.

Recommended Bet

Tyson Fury to win on points @ 9/4 with Skybet

 

Carl Froch v George Groves II Betting Preview

From the moment that referee Howard Foster jumped in and prematurely ended the first fight, the rematch between George Groves and Carl Froch just HAD to happen.  And after a bunch of verbal sparring and denials from Froch, the rematch was eventually signed and sealed, taking place on 31st May at what will look likely to be an 80,000 crowd at Wembley Stadium.

This fight is massive and needs little hyping compared to the first fight, the work is already done in that respect, with the dislike between the 2 fighters clear and the unsatisfactory ending of the first fight just adding to the intrigue.

Froch v Groves Betting Preview

We all saw what happened in the first fight, with Groves roaring out of the traps, clearly the faster man early on and caught Froch cold with a beauty of a right hand.  For what it’s worth I had Froch coming back into the fight from round 7 onwards and do believe he was in the ascendancy but the stoppage was clearly premature and robbed people of a satisfactory outcome.

So what are the odds for Froch Groves II?

Carl Froch v George Groves II Outright Betting Odds

Carl Froch 4/6 (Betfred)

George Groves 13/8 (Coral)

Draw 28/1 (Various Bookies)

Looking at these odds you’d have to say they are quite long for George Groves, after all he was winning the previous fight at the time of the stoppage, he had put Froch down in Round 1 and he will now have a lot more of the crowd behind him.  Froch isn’t getting any younger and the first fight probably took a lot out of the tank, so the odds could be quite generous here to Groves.

 

Carl Froch v George Groves II Method Of Victory Betting Odds

Carl Froch KO/TKO/Disq 6/4 (Betfred)

George Groves Dec/Tech Dec 7/2 (Coral)

Carl Froch Dec/Tech Dec 4/1 (Betfred)

George Groves KO/TKO/Disq 9/2 (Coral)

So the bookies have the favourite outcome as another Froch KO similar to the first fight.  I do think there is very good value in Groves at 7/2 for the decision, he has proven in the past that he can get on his bike and win points decisions like he did against James DeGale and I have a feeling that he might get back to those tactics in this one.

He got caught big when he stood and traded with Froch in the first fight, but clearly he had a big speed and skill advantage so maybe it would make more sense for him to play it safe and try for a points victory this time around rather than going for the big KO and coming up short.

Groves also looks big at 9/2 for the KO considering he had Froch in a world of trouble last time, but you have to think that with Froch’s chin it is going to take a gargantuan effort to actually finish him and get him out of there – something which may be too dangerous for Groves to consider if he gets caught again.

Recommended bets

Overall I would recommend probably taking a punt on Groves in this fight, it’s going to be very close but Groves is probably just about the VALUE bet – he proved he has the speed and skill edge in the first fight and so long as he boxes a more disciplined fight he could outpoint Froch here.

Don’t totally bet against Froch coming into it late again though and maybe getting a similar late KO, if you fancy that outcome you can get 11/2 with Ladbrokes on Carl Froch by KO/TKO in rounds 9-12.

We recommend:

George Groves Dec/Tech Dec @ 7/2 (Coral)

Carl Froch KO/TKO Rounds 9-12 @ 11/2 (Ladbrokes)

Resources to use:

Oddschecker.com for checking the latest odds

Bookiepromocode.com/codes/ladbrokes-promo-code/ to get the latest offer with Ladbrokes

 

Amir Khan vs Luis Collazo Fight and Betting Preview

Amir Khan has been announced to fight Luis Collazo on 3rd May 2014 on the undercard of Mayweather-Maidana.  This comes after the falling through of a touted Khan-Mayweather bout in which Mayweather instead decided to face Maidana.

It would appear that Mayweather has again shown his careful matchmaking and probably sees Khan as a riskier bout due to Khan’s excellent handspeed which could cause the older man more problems than the simpler come-forward style of Maidana.

Amir Khan vs Luis Collazo Fight Preview and Betting

Khan himself will be very disappointed, a match against Mayweather stood to make him $5m – $10m, maybe more, whereas the Collazo fight will probably net him no more than $1m.  Alongside this, the Collazo fight is an extremely risky proposition, this is not some nobody lined up as a keep-busy fight – Collazo KO’d Victor Ortiz in 2 rounds last time out and has been a seriously avoided man in the boxing world.

Collazo is definitely in the ‘who needs him’ club – he has talent, solid enough power but brings little fanbase and is not recognised by mainstream fans.  therefore in the risk vs reward stakes he has often been overlooked for big fights.  Not only this, he has arguably won some of the fights that appear as losses on his record being on the wrong end of some close decisions that have probably favoured the ‘house fighter’ – notably against Ricky Hatton and Andre berto with many people saying he could have won both those fights or at least got a draw.

So here he is, at age 32, possibly with his final shot at a really big breakthrough – if he beats Khan he could arguably be Mayweather’s next opponent or at least put himself in the frame for some other really big fights.  This fight is REALLY dangerous for Khan, for whatever reason Khan has not looked great in the ring since beating Zab Judah 4 fights ago.  Since then he has had 2 losses to Lamont Peterson (albeit controversial Khan did not fight well) and a crushing KO loss to Danny Garcia.

In his last 2 fights Khan has won against lesser named opponents and struggled hard to get those wins.  In particular in his last fight against Julio Diaz, Khan was down in the 4th round and in a world of trouble several times in the fight, this against a man who had come up 2 weight classes in recent years.  This performance does not bode well for a fight against Collazo, a true welterweight who has a dig on him and is big at the weight.

So let’s take a look at the current best odds for this fight:

Khan 2/7  (Bet365)

Collazo 7/2 (BetVictor)

Draw 28/1 (Stan James)

These odds are quite surprising, the bookies have gone for Khan as a huge betting favourite even though this would appear to be a pretty evenly matched bout.  Khan has in his favour his immense speed of hand and foot, this will obviously give him an edge over Collazo who is not noted for his speed in particular though he was no slouch against Ortiz.  However, Khan is as chinny as they come, against a big guy at welterweight who is proven on the world level I feel that anything could happen in this fight, so the odds as they stand are looking totally wrong.

I would definitely recommend having a bet on Luis Collazo at current odds of 7/2 to win the fight by any method, this gives you any eventuality such as points, KO, TKO etc etc.  Whilst Khan should probably be a slight betting favourite, maybe a 4/6 shot, he certainly isn’t a certainty in this fight and may also be caught between styles with the recent change to trainer Virgil Hunter.  It’s an easy thing for fighters to do when they have a rough patch, but Freddy Roach is one of the best in the game and it is yet to be proven that Khan can stay disciplined for a whole fight or fight effectively in a more defensive style.

The fight against Collazo will be intriguing and is definitely a crossroads make or break fight for both men.  Whoever wins will definitely go onto bigger fights, in Khan’s case probably getting his fight against Mayweather, so there is a lot to gain and to lose for both fighters.  We await it with anticipation.

Recommended Bet: Luis Collazo to win @ 7/2 (BetVictor)